Top Senate races, Manchin, Feinstein

Democrats win a majority in the Senate in 2022. We’ll be lucky if we can keep that uptrend in 2024.

Republicans, who won control of the House in November’s midterm elections, are hoping for similar success in the Senate next year. They have reason to be hopeful: Democrats face a difficult map for the Senate in 2024, with 34 seats in the cycle, including multiple seats considered ripe for challenge by Republicans. You will defend them in 23 of the races.

Democrats are trying to keep Senate seats in states that voted for former President Donald Trump over President Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election.

in a grim outlook Several Senate Democrats considering retiring, even after better-than-expected results in the midterm elections and the caucuses widening to a 51-49 majority.

Here are some of the notable Senate elections.

Sen. Joe Manchin may be one of the most conservative Democrats in the Senate, but his party affiliation is a red-hot West Virginia state that voted nearly 40 percentage points for Trump in 2020. still jeopardize their chances of re-election.

That may be why Manchin has yet to announce whether he intends to run again.

Manchin’s potential Republican challenger isn’t waiting for the incumbent to reveal his plans. $10 million A pledge of support from the conservative Club for Growth for his Senate primary.

Manchin’s campaign had $9.7 million in cash on hand as of the end of March, FEC filed Indicated.

But Manchin’s biggest Republican rival may well be West Virginia Governor Jim Justice. liked Candidate for Senate elections.

Election analysts at the Sabbath Crystal Ball in January said West Virginia had “aLean Rmaking it the most vulnerable Senate seat held by a Democrat.

the winning manchin 2018 With about 3% running for the Senate, he’s recently distanced himself from his fellow Democrats.he even vowed to vote for abolition The Inflation Reduction Act, a Biden signature spending bill that Manchin helped pass, complained to Fox News that the administration broke its terms.

Democrats and Republicans alike are eyeing the Arizona seat held by Senator Kirsten Cinema, who will leave the Democratic Party to become president-elect in late 2022. independence.

A replacement from Cinema, which continues to hold caucuses with Democrats, allows her to skip the potentially vulnerable Senate primary and compete directly in the general election.

But the move doesn’t guarantee her a road to victory in the state. toss up And a great acquisition opportunity. Cinema has not yet announced whether it will seek re-election in 2024.

Cinema, once considered a progressive Democrat, has taken a modest tackle in recent years.she drew criticism for her from some of her former party vote raise the minimum wage and oppose her oppose To change the filibuster.

She now faces a potential challenge from the left wing of Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego. indignant Cinema competing for jobs.

Republican sheriff Mark Lamb also entered the race. Lost to Democratic Katie Hobbs in the 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election, she could face former TV news anchor Kari Lake, who is currently considering a run for the Senate, in the Republican primary.

If Cinema runs, the Arizona Senate race could become a three-way race. It’s not clear who will have an edge in the battlefield states where Biden beat Trump by less than a point in 2020.

Independent labels in cinema could appeal in states where registrations with two major political parties are underway. Comparable to “Other”,” Poll Shows Senators Remaining unpopular.

Senator Jon Tester is one of three Democrats in the 2024 cycle defending seats in states that voted for Trump in the last presidential election. The former Republican president scored Montana about 16 points in 2020.

The Cook Political Report considers the tester’s seat a toss-up by Sabbath’s crystal ball. To tell The seat is tilted to the Democrats.

of the tester decision A rerun is welcome news for Democrats.

But he could face a formidable threat from an eventual Republican challenger: former Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke, Rep. Matt Rosendale, and Gov. Greg Gianforte. Remarkable as a possible candidate.

Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown has held the seat since 2007 and has already announced plans for a fourth term.

But just like Republicans did, the 2024 Senate election in Ohio is now seen as a toss-up big profit In states in the last two election cycles.

Trump won Buckeye State by more than 8 points in 2020, endorsing Republican candidates, including the current Senator. JD Vance and Gov. Mike DeWine won the midterm elections.

Matt Dolan, State Senator and Part-Owner of the Cleveland Guardians Baseball Team in the 2022 Republican Senate Primary, said: running Another Republican Senate candidate, Bernie Moreno, came under scrutiny when he proposed that Brown’s seat should be taken in 2024. Compensation For the descendants of Union Civil War soldiers who “died to save black lives.”

In 2024, Democrats will defend a Senate seat in Michigan, a battleground state that voted for Trump in 2016 and Biden in 2020.

Senator Debbie Stabenow The surprise decision not to seek a fifth term erased the Democratic incumbent’s dominance over seats.

Democrats won big in Michigan in the 2022 midterm elections, taking control of the House and Senate and securing Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s next term.

Republicans Michael Hoover and Nicky Snyder have so far entered Stabenow’s senatorial campaign.

On the Democratic side, Rep. Elissa Slotkin, who won a heated re-election race in the midterm elections, is seen as the front-runner for the seat. Slotkin said she was endorsed by former Republican Congresswoman Liz Cheney in 2022. Liz Cheney’s vocal criticism of Trump following her January 6th Capitol riot sparked a break with her party’s leadership and many members of the House of Representatives .

Sabato’s Crystal Ball and Cook Political Report both say the Senate race in Michigan is leaning Democratic.

Unlike most other races on this list, the California race leaves little doubt that the Democrats will retain the Senate seat scheduled to open in 2024.

Democratic Senator Diane Feinstein, who has held the seat for 30 years, is 89 years old. Retired at the end of his current term.

By then, multiple Democrats had already launched campaigns for her job. Katie Porter and Barbara Lee, with even more potential.

Feinstein, the oldest member of the U.S. Senate, took a few months off in the spring. health problemsConcerns about Feinstein’s suitability for office quickly became contentious among Democrats, with some openly calling for the immediate confirmation of senior senators. resignation and others defending her. Feinstein’s absence from the Senate Judiciary Committee it’s late Democratic Efforts to Advance Biden’s Judiciary Candidate.

playing cards Narrow After losing Nevada to Biden in 2020, his handpicked Republican candidate Adam Laxalt lost an even closer race for the seat of Democratic Senator Catherine Cortez Mast in 2022.

Now the state’s other Democratic Senator, Jackie Rosen, demand Her list of potential Republican challengers looks slim so far.

While Laksalt’s name has surfaced as a 2024 Senate candidate, the former Nevada Attorney General in April led a super PAC to encourage Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis to run for president in 2024. signed a contract to support