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As Trump vs. Biden 2.0 heads to the conventions, the key issues that will determine the contest between the two parties have stabilized.
There is still a possibility of an “October surprise”, but it is extremely unlikely. Both candidates have served as president and have been under intense scrutiny for at least a decade for former President Donald Trump and five decades for President Joe Biden. Therefore, a new “opposition poll” that could significantly change the vote count is impossible.
So, other than personal hostility or love for Biden or Trump, what are the factors that increase voter turnout?The easiest thing to remember is “ABC; DEI; EEIII.”
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A catchy song won’t help when it comes to specifics like Nat King Cole’s “LOVE,” but “ABC; DEI; EEIII” can help categorize articles on news platforms.
When you read “A,” you think of Afghanistan, abortion, and appeasement.
“B” is of course borderline.
“C” is for crime, campus disorder, climate, and China.
“DEI” is really about diversity, equity, and inclusion of all kinds.
The last two “E’s” are education and energy.
The failure of education due to COVID-19 and the erosion of trust in public schools more generally has many parents thinking about education. Public schools are politicized and perceived by millions to be unprepared for children and young people for life beyond the age of 18. The education that awaits 12th grade graduates on college campuses has also been affected not only by outbursts of anti-Semitism on campus, the buffoonery of some university presidents, and the disastrous testimony of a few before Congress. The vileness and moral confusion displayed by university presidents when confronting alumni and parents of current students.
“Energy” is simple. How much do you pay for gas to run your car, and for gas and electricity to heat and cool your home or apartment?
The three “I’s” are inflation, Israel, and President Biden’s infirmity. (“Inflation” goes far beyond energy costs, but specifically includes rent and borrowing costs.)
“Wait!” Some Trump haters may object. “What about threats to democracy?”
“Wait!” others would object. “What about the Biden crime family?”
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Against these two objections, I can only assert my opinion that voters motivated by either the J6 or Hunter’s laptop are not really “engaged.” Voters motivated by any of these slogans are unlikely to change their minds between now and November and are very likely to have already voted in person, perhaps even voting early. Dew.
The “ABC; DEI; EEIII” formulation is unwieldy, but it is likely that (1) voters who have not yet really made up their minds (and I think these are relatively few) or (2) salient to these voters. captures important issues. These are voters who are not driven by love or hate for either Biden or Trump, or by passion for a single issue, and who are therefore harder to motivate to vote (perhaps a much larger target group than the truly undecided). number). Almost all voters in both categories will have to make a decision on themselves or go to the polls to decide which candidate to support (or whether to bother voting at all) . We do this based on a problem or combination of problems captured by “ABC, DEI, EEIII”.
So, other than personal hostility or love for Biden or Trump, what are the factors that increase voter turnout?The easiest thing to remember is “ABC; DEI; EEIII.”
If you agree, in whole or in part, please tell us whether your “news” sources regularly cover all of these issue sets, and if so, whether they do so fairly. Ask yourself.
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Between now and the conclusion of the Democratic convention in Chicago in August, no “news platform” should be trusted that does not at least repeatedly and seriously address these issue sets. Covering horse racing is essential. Presidential elections are the true nature of the beast. But the fundamentals are afoot, and the direction of the United States on all these issues remains up in the air, as the parties are deeply divided on each issue. Voters feeling the tremors under their feet and trying to make informed choices in this important election will have to wait until the president, as well as the roughly 3,000 appointees that either candidate brings in, to hear about these issues. need information. They offer different directions on all these issues.
do you understand? Are these issues mentioned in what you watch or read? If not, look for new sources. soon.
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Hugh Hewitt is the host of “The Hugh Hewitt Show,” which airs weekdays from 6 a.m. to 9 a.m. ET on the Salem Radio Network and is simulcast on the Salem News Channel. There is. Hugh Wakes America Up on all streaming platforms available on SNC, with over 400 affiliates across the country. He is a frequent guest on the Fox His News channel’s News His Roundtable, hosted by Bret Baier weekdays at 6pm ET. A son of Ohio State and a graduate of Harvard University and the University of Michigan Law School, Mr. Hewitt has been a professor of law at Chapman University’s Fowler School of Law since 1996, teaching constitutional law. Hewitt launched his own eponymous radio show from Los Angeles in 1990. Hewitt appeared frequently on every major national news network, PBS and MSNBC, wrote for every major American newspaper, wrote 12 books, and He hosted a Republican program. Candidate debates, most recently the November 2023 Republican presidential debate in Miami and the four Republican presidential debates in the 2015-2016 cycle. Hewitt focuses his radio show and columns on the Constitution, national security, American politics, the Cleveland Browns and the Guardians. Hewitt has interviewed tens of thousands of guests during his 40 years in the broadcast industry, from Democrats Hillary Clinton and John Kerry to Republicans George W. Bush and President Donald Trump. This column previews the key stories that drive his radio/television show today.